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"...even the wicked get worse than they deserve." - Willa Cather, One of Ours

Thursday, April 22, 2004

Palestinians Turn on Hamas?

Strategy Page (military intel news)

...But Hamas faces a larger problem. The Palestinian people are becoming disillusioned with the terror tactics. The main reason for the disillusionment is poverty. Before the current “intifada” (uprising) began in late 2000, some 20 percent of Palestinians lived in poverty. Now that figure is over 80 percent. Per capita income for Palestinians is about a thousand dollars (although 30 percent of that comes from foreign aid). Business investment in the Palestinian territories (and their 3.5 million population) is only about ten percent of what it was before the intifada. The Palestinian economy depends on Israel for jobs and trade. By sending suicide bombers into Israel, the movement of Palestinians and Palestinian goods into Israel was interrupted.

Hamas has cultivated support among Palestinians with their extensive social welfare operations. But this work is supported by charitable donations, and a portion of that money is diverted to terrorist operations. So, in the last few months, Israel has interrupted the flow of money to Hamas. This has resulted in social programs being stalled, or even stopped. Hamas has lost public support because of this. Palestinians are becoming less grateful to Hamas for helping them get through their poverty, and increasingly blaming Hamas for causing all the misfortune...
I don't know if I can agree with this analysis. The Palestinian public has consistantly chosen romanticism over praticality. Recent polls show that bout 76% of Palestinians support suicide bombings inside of Israel! That is why they are in their current mess. To suddenly expect the Palestinian public to put their economic well-being ahead of their polictical demands seems a bit unlikely (based on past behavior). But I don't know, maybe they are really desperate this time?

ORIGINAL ITEM: http://www.strategypage.com/
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