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"...even the wicked get worse than they deserve." - Willa Cather, One of Ours

Tuesday, May 18, 2004

As Violence Deepens, So Does Pessimism

Washington Post
...U.N. envoy Lakhdar Brahimi is trying to create the caretaker government that will assume authority, but on Monday debate over the details of his plan took a back seat to a more basic question: If Iraq's titular president, Izzedin Salim, can be blown up at the gates of occupation headquarters, what kind of country is being handed over to Iraqis?

"We could not imagine the deterioration leading to such a point. It's getting worse day after day, and no one has been able to put an end to it. Who is going to protect the next government, no matter what kind it is?" said Abdul Jalil Mohsen, a former Iraqi general and member of the Iraqi National Accord, a prominent party represented on the U.S.-appointed Governing Council...

"There's no question: A small band of people can paralyze the country," said Mahmoud Othman, an independent Kurdish member of the council. "They are armed and organized and this is the difficulty. The people who did this have no respect for anything of value. It's a real danger to Iraq, the Iraqis and to an agenda to achieve any kind of democracy."

[...]

Central Iraq, home to a long-running revolt by Sunni Muslims, is plagued by daily roadside bombings, occasional car bombings and frequent assassinations of Iraqis working with the U.S.-led administration. To the south, frequent clashes over the past six weeks have pitted U.S. and allied forces against a persistent insurgency led by Shiite Muslim cleric Moqtada Sadr. Fighting has all but paralyzed several southern cities.

Hostile bands operate freely in cities that straddle the main routes in and out of Baghdad. Foreigners who travel Iraqi roads run the risk of being kidnapped, and reconstruction projects in many parts of the country have come to a standstill.

[...]

... the area around Fallujah is heavy with roadside bombs and ambushes. Over the weekend, U.S. Marines reported on a goodwill visit to the town of Kharma, on the road from Baghdad to Fallujah. As soon as they left, insurgents peppered the town with rockets...

The roads south from Baghdad have become alleys for ambushes and kidnapping, area residents say. Two Russian electrical workers, nabbed near Latifiyah, were released Monday after two weeks in captivity; one of their comrades was killed during the kidnapping.

Even residents of Latifiyah said they had been terrorized by gangs of insurgents. They insist the attackers are not local people, but fundamentalist Wahhabi Muslims hiding among the date groves. "We don't use the main road to Latifiyah," said Ali Hamza Khazraji, a tribal leader...
In a perverse way, these fears of insecurity by Iraqi leaders works to our advantage. After the turn-over of power they will be unable to demand the removal of Coalition forces due to fears of the inevitable chaos that would follow. For the sake of their own personal survival, the Coalition forces will have to stay until security is restored.

Now stop it! No conspiracy theories! I said stop thinking that!

In any case, pessimism is irrelevant. Optimism is irrelevant. Creating a democratic, peaceful, free and independent Iraq is all that matters. How people feel about it makes no difference. In situations of successful political compromise, everyone should be left pessimistic and unhappy. That is a good sign.

Comments:
Is Iraq slipping away?
 
Yes, Iraq is slipping away...from the insurgents.

Over time, as the Iraqi Army, police and security forces become larger, better equipped and better trained, the security situation will be come stable enough that an independent democratic Iraqi government will be able to survive whatever challenges that thay must face.


Peace and Freedom for an Independent Iraq
 
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