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"...even the wicked get worse than they deserve." - Willa Cather, One of Ours

Saturday, May 15, 2004

Is Pulling Out The Bush Administration's New Strategy?

The New Republic
by Spencer Ackerman
This afternoon, Colin Powell, whose State Department is taking over the Iraq portfolio from the Pentagon-created CPA come July 1, echoed Paul Bremer's statements on whether we would leave Iraq. In a press conference, Powell addressed the issue of withdrawal, saying, "Just to make sure I'm not ducking the hypothetical ... and causing any confusion, were this interim government to say to us, 'we really think we can handle this on our own; it would be better if you were to leave,' we would leave."

...Powell was flanked by the foreign ministers of Britain, Italy, and Japan...and they agreed, too. Said Jack Straw: "Were [the Iraqis] to ask us to leave, we would leave." Added Japanese FM Yoriko Kawaguchi: "We would go back to Japan if requested." All of the principal foreign-policy ministers of the coalition are saying they can see themselves pulling their forces out of Iraq in short order.

The real question here is if Powell's trial balloon--or Bremer's--comes with Bush's approval, tacit or otherwise...Bush has repeatedly said we will stay the course in Iraq...but his favored formulation about the duration of our commitment is "as long as necessary, and not one day more."...

...Bush needs to say whether he agrees with Powell and Bremer...The consequences of pulling out of Iraq will be catastrophic, not only for the future of U.S. foreign policy, but for the bloodbath that Iraq will become as it falls into failed statehood--and 9/11 should have taught us what failed states mean for our national security...
If this were to happen, we would pull out of Iraq...and our forces would immediately move north to protect the newly declared Republic of Kurdistan. No one should doubt that in this scenario the Kurds would bolt and declare independence.

That is the implicit threat of Bremer's statement. I just don't know if the Iraqi Arabs are perceptive enough to pick up on it without it being explicitly spelled out for them.

The moderate Iraqi leadership are certainly rational enough to realize that if we pull out too soon, they will all be lined up against the wall and shot by the forces of whichever warlord wins the day.

Comments:
I think you may learn something if you were to read this masterful speech from MLK. Everything he says here applies to the situation in Iraq. Here is the link: http://www.hartford-hwp.com/archives/45a/058.html

Respectfully,
DB
 
You can see my reply here.
 
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