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"...even the wicked get worse than they deserve." - Willa Cather, One of Ours

Friday, June 18, 2004

Victory for Sharon

Washington Post
By Charles Krauthammer
While no one was looking, something historic happened in the Middle East. The Palestinian intifada is over, and the Palestinians have lost.

For Israel, the victory is bitter. The past four years of terrorism have killed almost 1,000 Israelis and maimed thousands of others. But Israel has won strategically. The intent of the intifada was to demoralize Israel, destroy its economy, bring it to its knees, and thus force it to withdraw and surrender to Palestinian demands, just as Israel withdrew in defeat from southern Lebanon in May 2000.

...Israelis turned out to be a lot tougher and braver than the Palestinians had imagined.

The end of the intifada does not mean the end of terrorism. There was terrorism before the intifada and there will be terrorism to come. What has happened, however, is an end to systematic, regular, debilitating, unstoppable terror -- terror as a reliable weapon. At the height of the intifada, there were nine suicide attacks in Israel killing 85 Israelis in just one month (March 2002). In the past three months there have been none.

The overall level of violence has been reduced by more than 70 percent. How did Israel do it? By ignoring its critics and launching a two-pronged campaign of self-defense.

First, Israel targeted terrorist leaders ...

Second, the fence. Only about a quarter of the separation fence has been built, but its effect is unmistakable. The northern part is already complete, and attacks in northern Israel have dwindled to almost nothing.

[...]

Arafat failed, spectacularly. The violence did not bring Israel to its knees. Instead, it created chaos, lawlessness and economic disaster in the Palestinian areas. The Palestinians know the ruin that Arafat has brought, and they are beginning to protest it. He promised them blood and victory; he delivered on the blood...
Sharon fought the Wall every step of the way, until it became clear that it was actually working to prevent the killing of Israeli civilians. Due to Palestinian cultural and political factors, a peace agreement was never very likely.

Separation has turned out to be a successful policy, but it will not bring peace. Like the ongoing war on the Korean penninsula, the Israeli-Palestinian war will go on for decades. And like the ongoing Korean war, the level of violence will be reduced to such a level that when a new generation comes to power it will become possible to resume peace negotiations.

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